Lung CT screening scan catches 70% of lung cancers at early stage — SUMMIT study

CT scan catches 70% of lung cancers at early stage — SUMMIT study

Giving smokers and ex-smokers a CT scan uncovers cancerous lung tumours when they are at an early enough stage so they can still be removed, found initial results from the UK‘s SUMMIT study, due to be published later this year.

The Guardian reports that the National Health Service (NHS) study that  three out of four lung cancer cases are diagnosed at stage three or four, when it is already too late to give the person potentially life-saving treatment. However, the SUMMIT study, being run by specialists in the disease at University College London Hospital NHS trust, offers real hope that lung cancer can become a condition that is detected early.

CT scanning meant that 70% of the growths detected in people’s lungs were identified when the disease was at stage one or two – a huge increase in the usual rate of early diagnosis.

“It’s really a major breakthrough for lung cancer,” Dr Sam Janes of UCLH, the senior investigator of the trial, is quoted in the report as saying. Lung cancer has never had anything that enabled us to detect this devastating cancer earlier and offer curative treatment to this number of lung cancer patients.”

“It’s important to highlight how effective CT scanning is. In my lung cancer clinic at UCLH, seven out of 10 people have cancer that’s been inoperable, incurable, from the first time they saw a doctor. Whereas with the cancers that we see with Summit, seven out of 10 are potentially curable, because they were detected earlier.

“We have many, many patients who can’t believe their luck that they’ve taken part because they’ve had their scan, they’ve had a nodule – an early cancer – detected, and then they’ve had surgery. People get out of hospital within three to five days and can get back to work or their usual routine within six weeks. That’s stopped them from presenting to a doctor maybe 18 months later with a cancer that has spread and is often incurable.”

According to the report, Janes and his team found 180 cases of lung cancer among 12,100 smokers and ex-smokers aged 55-78 in north central and north-east London, many of whom were from poorer backgrounds. They volunteered to undergo what he called a “lung health MOT” when they received an invitation letter from their GP. Of those, 70% were uncovered when they were still at stage one or two.

Experts say the findings show that the government should move to bring in routine screening of smokers and ex-smokers in order to cut the horrendous death toll from the disease.

“Now that CT screening for lung cancer has been shown to work, we very much hope that a lung cancer screening programme will be introduced in England”, said Dr Robert Rintoul, the chair of the clinical advisory group of the UK Lung Cancer Coalition, a group of leading experts in the disease and patient charities.

“The Summit study will teach us more about how to successfully implement CT screening in a high-risk population”, Rintoul said.

Previous studies in the US and Europe have also shown that CT scanning can find lung cancers that would otherwise have remained hidden.

Details of the SUMMIT study, which started two years ago:

The SUMMIT Study, which will begin in early 2019, has two aims: to detect lung cancer early amongst at-risk Londoners when the chance of successful treatment and survival from Britain’s biggest cancer killer is greatest; and to support the development of a new blood test for the early detection of multiple cancer types, including lung cancer.

In addition, the study will provide evidence to inform a potential national lung cancer screening programme. Currently in England, people are offered screening for breast, bowel and cervical cancer, but not lung cancer.

“Lung cancer is the biggest cancer killer in the UK because most people only experience symptoms when the cancer is at an advanced stage when it is very difficult to treat,” said Professor Sam Janes (UCL Medicine and UCLH), chief investigator of the SUMMIT Study, said.

“This large-scale study gives us a unique opportunity to detect lung cancer much earlier when treatment is more likely to be successful amongst those proven to be most at risk – people who smoke or used to smoke, aged between 50 and 77,” he said.

The study is a key work programme of the UCLH Cancer Collaborative, which brings together healthcare organisations across north and east London, to improve early cancer diagnosis, outcomes and care for patients.

The SUMMIT Study will be delivered by UCLH in close collaboration with UCL and GRAIL, Inc., a US healthcare company focused on the early detection of cancer.

The study aims to recruit approximately 50,000 men and women aged 50-77 from north and east London. Half of the participants will be people at high risk of lung and other cancers due to a significant smoking history (Group A), and the other half will be people who are not at high risk for cancer based on smoking history (Group B). All participants will provide a blood sample, which GRAIL will analyse to evaluate whether lung or other cancers can be detected early through genomic signals in the blood.

Participants in Group A will be identified by inviting residents of north and east London who may meet the eligibility criteria based on their smoking history for a lung health check. In addition to providing a blood sample, participants who are eligible and decide to join Group A will be screened for lung cancer using a low dose CT scan (imaging technology proven to detect lung cancer). The SUMMIT Study will also offer smoking cessation support to smokers who would like to stop.

People in Group B will be invited via a letter from their general practitioner, and eligible and interested participants will also donate a blood sample and fill out a questionnaire.

One in two people will be diagnosed with cancer in their lifetime; lung cancer alone causes around 35,000 deaths per year in the UK. Early diagnosis is key to effective treatment and increasing survival for all cancers, but particularly for lung cancer: currently around 75% of lung cancers are diagnosed at a late stage – stages 3 and 4. Only 25% are diagnosed at the earlier stages 1 and 2.

If diagnosed at the earliest stage, 70% of lung cancer patients will survive for at least a year, compared to around 14% for people diagnosed with the most advanced stage of the disease.

Professor Geoff Bellingan (UCL Medicine), medical director for cancer and surgery at UCLH, said: “The SUMMIT Study provides us with a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to change how lung cancer is diagnosed – both by paving the way for a national screening programme here in the UK and supporting global efforts to develop a novel blood test for early detection of multiple cancers, including lung cancer.”

Professor Mark Emberton (Dean, UCL Faculty of Medical Sciences), commented: “The SUMMIT study is wonderful opportunity to deliver cutting edge care to a large portion of London and save lives. We are working with a US company to build a team of clinicians and scientists that can really make a difference in the early detection of both lung cancer and other types of cancer through the development of blood tests.”

[link url=”https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/feb/14/ct-scan-catches-70-of-lung-cancers-at-early-stage-nhs-study-finds”]Full report in The Guardian (Open access)[/link]

Why current screening guidelines for the deadliest cancer miss most cases

Why screening for the deadliest cancer misses most cases – US study

Recent research has found that current lung cancer screening guidelines could be missing most cases, prompting calls for changes to detect the disease earlier, reports The Washington Post.

Jessie Creel’s cough started in May last year.

At the time, a primary care physician diagnosed the mother of three with pneumonia. But the antibiotics didn’t work and her cough persisted. Then, during a camping trip, she coughed up blood. She kept losing weight. She couldn’t sleep.

Six months later, Creel, then 42, was diagnosed with stage four lung cancer. She was active, a runner and a swimmer, didn’t drink, and had never even held a cigarette.

More diagnoses like hers are prompting cancer and public health experts to call for changes to lung cancer screening guidelines.

Under current recommendations, people are eligible for screening if they are 50 to 80-years-old and have a history of heavy smoking, either actively or in the past 15 years. But those guidelines exclude a large number of people who could have their cancer detected earlier, according to a study published recently in JAMA Network Open.

The study indicated that of the roughly 1 000 patients treated for lung cancer at Northwestern Medicine, only one-third met requirements for screening. The researchers noted that women, minorities and people who never smoked were disproportionately excluded.

“A majority of the lung cancer patients in this country would not meet the screening criteria as it exists currently,” said Ankit Bharat, the study’s lead author and executive director of the Canning Thoracic Institute at Northwestern Medicine. “If we have a broader screening programme, similar to breast and colon, then we would be able to detect substantially more patients at earlier stage.”

If screening were made available for anyone between the ages of 40 and 85, researchers estimate that nearly 94% of lung cancer cases could be detected, preventing at least roughly 26 000 deaths each year if even 30% of people got screened.

“Lung cancer is the biggest cause of cancer deaths in this country,” Bharat said. “It kills more people than breast, colon and prostate combined.”

He and other experts said the study’s findings highlight that the cancer should no longer be seen as just a smoker’s disease.

“If I had come in presenting a totally different phenotype of like a heavy drinker and heavy smoker, I would have been screened,” Creel said. “It would have been a different result. We have such stereotypes about what lung cancer looks like.”

How is lung cancer detected?

Those who are eligible for screening should get a low-dose CT scan annually, according to the US Preventive Services Task Force, an independent panel of medical experts who recommend screenings and services to keep Americans healthy.

These scans, which are covered by insurance for people who meet the USPSTF screening requirements, use far less radiation than conventional CT scans and have been shown to be able to detect early lung cancers, as well as other conditions, according to medical experts.

Some doctors say they recommend screening using the American Cancer Society’s guidelines, which are slightly different and do not guarantee full insurance coverage. The influential group says anyone aged 50 to 80 with a history of heavy smoking, regardless of when you might have quit, should be screened annually.

“When lung cancers are detected early through lung cancer screening, they are highly curable,” said John Heymach, chair of thoracic/head and neck medical oncology at MD Anderson Cancer Centre in Texas. “In all the studies, we see cure rates above 90%.”

Lung cancer can also be caught at earlier stages in people who get CT scans for unrelated reasons. But experts say many people who don’t meet the screening guidelines are often diagnosed with advanced disease because the cancer isn’t found until they’re showing symptoms.

“Waiting for symptoms leads to most patients having a Stage 4 diagnosis,” said Narjust Florez, a thoracic medical oncologist and co-director of the Young Lung Cancer Programme at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute in Boston.

By the time Creel got a CT scan, the cancer had spread to her brain, bones and lymph nodes.

“I had known it was definitely outside my lungs,” she said. “Did I expect it to be everywhere that it was? Absolutely not.”

What needs to change?

Official recommendations for lung cancer screening take into account smoking habits, but smoking rates have decreased, Heymach said. Meanwhile, he and other experts say they’re seeing more cases of lung cancer in non-smokers or people who haven’t smoked for at least 15 years.

“The population we’re screening is a smaller and smaller percentage of the whole lung cancer population,” he added. “Low-dose screening CT works, but we’re just not screening enough people.

”The findings in the latest study are “really shocking”, said Heymach, who was not involved in the research.

“It shows that if we kept the current guidelines, we would only catch about one-third of new lung cancers.”

The research suggests that switching to universal age-based screening could save thousands of lives each year – an estimate greater than the number of people who die of brain cancer, Heymach said.

“Imagine if we said that implementing this screening would be like eradicating a whole disease like brain cancer,” he said. “Who wouldn’t think that’s a worthwhile thing to do?”

Changing screening guidelines could also be a cost-effective move, Bharat said. The study found that if age-based screening caught 30% of cases at stage one, it would help save nearly $25bn annually in treatment costs, an amount much greater than the price of broadening access to scans.

Since her diagnosis, Creel has undergone multiple rounds of chemotherapy and a surgery that resulted in the removal of the right upper lobe of her lung. She is also on a prescription medicine used to treat non-small cell lung cancer.

How to lower that risk

People who are eligible should talk to their doctors and schedule a scan. Lung cancer screening rates among people who should be getting tested are low, said Alexis Chidi, a thoracic surgeon and co-director of the Lung Cancer Screening Programme at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Centre.

State-level data suggest between 9% and about 30% of eligible people get screened, one recent study found.

“In addition to making sure that we’re expanding screening criteria, I think a really important part of this is making sure people are getting to screening and that we eliminate the barriers, which are not just based on the guidelines,” Chidi said.

In many cases, she noted, people who are eligible see their healthcare providers every year and never have a discussion about screening. For others, worries about costs, transportation, or time away from work can make the screening process more challenging.

It’s also important to increase screening for people who are at the highest risk, she said.

Among people who are not eligible to be screened, experts say, those worried about their lung cancer risk aren’t left with many options.

Conventional CT scans are available – and they are expensive out of pocket and usually require a physician to sign off.

The Washington Post article – Why screening for the deadliest cancers in the US misses some out (Restricted access)

See more from MedicalBrief archives:

Updated US guidelines urge more lung cancer screening

UK offers free lung screening for ex-smokers in early detection drive

Late diagnosis by GPs link to lung cancer mortality — UK report

CT scan catches 70% of lung cancers at early stage — SUMMIT study

Does Screening Interval Matter? Annual Mammograms Tied to Better Survival in Breast Cancer

Does Screening Interval Matter? Annual Mammograms Tied to Better Survival in Breast Cancer

This transcript has been edited for clarity. 

Hello. I’m Dr Maurie Markman, from City of Hope. I’d like to briefly discuss an article with a very interesting analysis on an important topic. The title of the article is “Breast cancer screening interval: effect on rate of late-stage disease at diagnosis and overall survival,” which was published in the Journal of Clinical Oncology.

Breast cancer screening with mammograms is standard of care and has been for a very long period of time. The question that was addressed by these particular authors is whether yearly screening or biennial screening makes a difference.

They looked at their own registry data. They looked at the date of diagnosis and the history for the last mammogram before the mammogram that led to a diagnosis of cancer. Then, they made somewhat of an artificial — but reasonable — determination, and stated that if the last mammogram before the particular diagnosis was 15 months or less, this would be considered an annual screening strategy.

If they saw that the last mammogram was obtained from 15 to 27 months prior to the diagnosis of breast cancer, this would’ve been considered a biennial screening strategy. If it was greater than 27 months, the authors called this an intermittent scheduling of mammograms.

Knowing when the previous mammogram was, they looked at the percentage of late-stage cancers (defined as: A TNM stage of IIB or greater) diagnosed by the mammogram that led to the diagnosis.

Again, they looked at the population. They had a total of 8145 patients who had prediagnostic screening by mammogram. What they found was very interesting, and in my opinion, pretty powerful data.

The percentage of late-stage cancers that were diagnosed in the population of women who had what they defined as annual mammograms was 9%. If it was biennial, that percentage increased to 14%. If it was intermittent — meaning they had a mammogram, but it was more than 27 months — it increased to 19%.

We went from 9% with annual, 14% with biennial, and 19% with intermittent. This was, as you would suspect, statistically significant, providing very strong real-world evidence for the value of annual mammograms.

Not surprisingly, when they also looked at overall survival, the biennial and intermittent had worse overall survival.

Their conclusion was that this demonstrated the value of annual screening for women who were 40 years of age or older.

This is a very interesting and important analysis. It would be very interesting if other groups looked at their own data to see if they can confirm or they come up with any difference in the interpretation.

Thank you for your attention.

These women were diagnosed with lung cancer. They weren’t eligible for screening.

These women were diagnosed with lung cancer. They weren’t eligible for screening.

Researchers at Northwestern Medicine found that 65% of their lung cancer patients weren’t eligible for screening. They were likelier to be female, Asian American or nonsmokers.
Get more newson

In 2024, Kara Goodwin started feeling a pain in her arm and shoulder that wouldn’t go away.

She was diagnosed with bicep tendinitis and frozen shoulder. Doctors thought the resident of Brooklyn, New York, who has run multiple marathons, had an overuse injury from her active lifestyle.

Two months later, when the pain hadn’t gone away, Goodwin got an MRI. “They could visibly see the giant tumor that was shattering my humerus bone from the inside out,” she said.

Goodwin, now 39, was diagnosed with stage 4 lung cancer that had spread to her bones. It was “quite shocking as a marathon runner,” she said. “I have no family history of cancer,” she added.

Goodwin’s cancer, while treatable, can’t be cured. The treatments will keep the cancer at bay but eventually, she said, they’ll most likely stop working.

Lung cancer is more curable when it’s found at an earlier stage, according to the American Lung Association.

Kara Goodwin was diagnosed with stage 4 lung cancer after several months of arm pain. Evelyn Freja for NBC News

For Goodwin, it’s unlikely that would’ve happened: Lung cancer screening isn’t recommended for people her age, nor is it recommended for people who were never smokers.

The current guidelines, from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, say that people ages 50 to 80 who smoked a pack a day for 20 years and still smoke or have quit in the past 15 years should get a yearly scan to screen for lung cancer.

But up to 20% of lung cancer cases are diagnosed in people who never smoked or used any other form of tobacco, according to the American Cancer Society.

A new study, published Thursday in JAMA Network Open, suggests that the guidelines are missing the majority of lung cancer cases.

People still think of lung cancer as a disease that only affects older men and lifetime smokers, even though it’s becoming more common in younger women and people who never smoked, said lead study author Dr. Ankit Bharat, executive director of the Northwestern Medicine Canning Thoracic Institute in Chicago. “Every day, we are seeing patients who’ve never smoked, who may have had passive smoking exposure, they’re coming with advanced lung cancer, and then it’s not curable.”

The diagnosis was “quite shocking as a marathon runner,” Goodwin said. “I have no family history of cancer.”Evelyn Freja for NBC News
Bharat’s research found that 65% of lung cancer patients at Northwestern didn’t qualify for screening based on the current guidelines. Women, Asian Americans and nonsmokers diagnosed with lung cancer were likelier to be ineligible for screening, the study found. (Another study, published Wednesday in the Journal of the American Medical Association, found that even among people eligible for screening, less than 20% were up to date.)

Lung cancer is the deadliest cancer in the United States, according to the ACS. At the same time, death rates for the disease have fallensignificantly in recent decades, largely because of reductions in smoking.

“Smoking-related lung cancer incidence is decreasing, but as that decreases, then a higher proportion of people that get lung cancer have these other reasons for getting lung cancer,” said Dr. Helena Yu, a thoracic medical oncologist at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in New York City.

Most of the patients she sees with lung cancer have stopped smoking decades ago, or were light smokers and wouldn’t qualify for screening. “We probably should be screening a larger population, because we’re finding it if you look at these different groups,” she said.

Even trickier are the cases in her patients who never smoked, including Goodwin.

Goodwin’s marathon medals. In November, she ran the New York City Marathon for the first time. Evelyn Freja for NBC News

“There aren’t clear environmental factors, we’re not seeing that it’s radon or secondhand smoke or anything specific that’s leading to these mutation-driven lung cancers,” Yu said. “But there are probably factors that we don’t know in our modern-era world that are affecting both lung cancer but also other cancers, like GI cancers and other cancers that we’re seeing on the rise.”

In Bharat’s study, researchers modeled how many cases they would’ve caught by expanding the screening criteria. If the guidelines included people who smoked a pack a day for 10 years and were ages 40 to 85, they could increase the detection rate to 62%. If they used a universal approach, screening all adults in that age group regardless of smoking status, they would’ve caught 94% of cancers.

“Having such a universal program would not only capture a majority of these patients, but we would be able to detect most of these patients at an earlier stage, which would dramatically improve the long-term survival as a whole population, with regards to lung cancer,” Bharat said.

Danielle Hoeg, of Chicago, was diagnosed with lung cancer last year,when she was 43. She had never smoked.

“I just didn’t believe it,” Hoeg said.

Danielle Hoeg caught her cancer early on an unrelated MRI scan.Jamie Kelter Davis for NBC News
Her cancer was caught early — at stage 1 — on an unrelated MRI scan. She had no symptoms, such as a persistent cough or chest pain. Because the tumor was found at an early stage, she was able to have it surgically removed and didn’t require any additional treatment.

“I’m at the point now where I probably would, if I hadn’t found it, probably be dead by now,” she said.

MRIs, however, aren’t the standard tool used to look for lung cancer. Instead, screenings are done using a low-dose CT scan, a type of X-ray that takes images of the lungs using low amounts of radiation. One concern with universal screening is that patients could be exposed to unnecessary radiation. Another concern is false positives.

“The screening guidelines, as they currently stand, are heavily focused on smoking history and age,” said Dr. Jhanelle Gray, a thoracic medical oncologist at Moffitt Cancer Center in Tampa, Florida. This leaves out “some groups who don’t fit that criteria and are still at risk and so when you look at the guidelines, we need to look at expanding the criteria to reach more high-risk patients.”

“It’s kind of easier said than done,” Gray added. “We also need the research to prove that this is a value.”

Hoeg’s tumor was removed surgically, and she hasn’t needed further treatment. Jamie Kelter Davis for NBC News

Dr. Nicole Geissen, a thoracic surgeon at Rush University Medical Center in Chicago, said doctors should focus on increasing screening in people who currently qualify.

“Yes, there needs to be ongoing discussions about making the criteria less stringent and more easily understood by both patients and primary care,” Geissen said. “But until that happens, we need to really focus on how do we get the other 80% of people that actually qualify for the current guidelines to get screened.”

Bharat is now enrolling adults in a large clinical trial at Northwestern and screening them for lung cancer. At the end of the trial, he hopes to find the patient population that would benefit the most from screening.

Yu said that one of the challenges is a lack of funding for lung cancer research.

“Lung cancer is the No. 1 cancer killer, more than breast cancer, colon cancer, prostate cancer combined every year, but the funding for research is the lowest for lung cancer, and that’s partly because it’s survivors that are the biggest fundraisers,” she said. “Unfortunately, most people don’t survive a diagnosis of lung cancer.”

CT Angiography Scans Help Target Statin Use in Higher-Risk Patients

CT Angiography Can Help Target Statin Use in Higher-Risk Patients

 

Statin therapy remains a cornerstone for primary and secondary prevention of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs), but prescribing based on patient phenotype identified through imaging may boost its effectiveness, according to a new study.

“While population-level primary-prevention trials have established the efficacy of statins, it remains unclear whether their benefit depends on the extent of underlying atherosclerotic disease. Our work addresses this evidence gap by assessing whether the treatment effect varies with disease characteristics,” lead investigator Bálint Szilveszter, MD, PhD, a researcher at the Semmelweis University Heart and Vascular Centre in Budapest, Hungary, wrote in an email to Medscape Medical News.

“Clarifying this relationship could enable more personalized and also intensified therapy,” Szilveszter added.

Each 10% increase in statin use was associated with a decreased risk for MACE, for example, among those with obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), high-risk plaque, a calcium score of ≥ 400, or a segment involvement score > 4. In contrast, there was no link between patients with “any CAD” and lower risk for MACE.

By contrast, “in asymptomatic individuals, routine CT screening is not recommended,” Szilveszter said.

The study was published online on August 5, 2025, in JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging.

More Than 8 Years Follow-Up

Szilveszter and colleagues studied 11,026 consecutive adults with stable chest pain referred for clinically indicated coronary CT angiography to assess CAD between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2020. The population had a mean age of 59 years and 55% were men.

The MACE composite endpoint included all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, or revascularization for unstable angina.

Statin use was based on prescription fills in Hungary’s National Health Service database. Sixty-six percent of patients were treated with a statin during the study period. Median follow-up was 8.3 years from the date of first statin use to an event or end of the study.

Key Findings

MACE was detected in 4.4% of patients, myocardial infarction alone in 0.9%, and all-cause mortality in 3.1%. Following coronary CT angiography, 14% of total patients stopped using statins, 11% started statin therapy, and 40% continued their statin regimen. The remaining patients were not treated with statins.

With each 10% increase in statin use, the risk for MACE was lowered in the presence of:

  • Obstructive CAD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.91; 95% CI, 0.85-0.97; P = .006)
  • High-risk plaque (aHR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.68-0.98; P = .026)
  • Calcium score of ≥ 400 (aHR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.87-0.99; P = .024)
  • Segment involvement score of ≥ 4 (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84-0.95; P < .001)

In contrast, results revealed no significant MACE reduction for “any CAD” (aHR, 0.95; 95% CI: 0.85-1.07; P = .411).

“Our message is not to restrict therapy but to better target and support statin use when anatomic disease is demonstrated,” Szilveszter said.

Whether coronary CT angiography can guide therapy in asymptomatic individuals remains under investigation, he added.

“Given radiation and contrast exposure and costs, we need to define the true cost–benefit and select subgroups in whom use may be justified in the future,” he said.

The Protective Role of Fitness

“Statins are widely prescribed. While it is clear that statin users improved some aspects of their lipid profile, the effects of health outcomes are not so obvious and there are some gaps in the knowledge,” Claudio Gil Araújo, MD, PhD, dean of Research and Education at CLINIMEX — Clínica de Medicina do Exercício in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, wrote in an email to Medscape Medical News.

There has never been a randomized controlled trial comparing statins, exercise, a combination of both, and controls, according to Abraço.

“And unfortunately, due to other interests, it will never happen. However, observational data suggest that those who are fitter will have modest or no benefit in reducing MACE from taking statins,” he said, citing a 2013 study in The Lancet by Peter Kokkinos, PhD, and colleagues that supports that finding.

“It’s better to be highly fit or at least fit than not being fit and taking a statin,” Kokkinos, lead author and director of the Center for Exercise and Aging and professor at Rutgers-New Brunswick School of Arts and Sciences in New Brunswick, New Jersey, said in an interview.

Kokkinos and colleagues classified 10,043 veterans with dyslipidemia into four strata of fitness. They found significant protective effects against MACE with greater fitness levels, and statins conferred the most benefit among those who were least fit. Median follow-up was 10 years, during which 2318 patients died. The risk for death was 18.5% among those taking statins vs 27.7% among those not taking statins (P < .0001).

Therefore, even though the research shows an interaction between statins and reduced MACE risk, “once you go up to fit or highly fit, I’m not sure it matters,” Kokkinos said.

One potential limitation of the study by Kokkinos and colleagues is that the median age of the veterans was 59 years, so the interaction of statins, exercise, and risk for MACE later in life was not addressed in this study.

“I think it would have been similar; we had some people in their seventies and eighties. But, yes, we do not know this — I don’t have that data,” Kokkinos said.

Not a ‘One-Size-Fits-All’ Therapy

Asked to comment on the findings by Szilveszter and colleagues, Kokkinos said, “If you have some degree of CAD or a higher calcium score, then statins increase your survival rate.”

Kokkinos added that screening patients using coronary CT angiography makes sense. “Of course, the more you know about the severity of disease, the better off you are as a physician. As we get more and more technology, more high-resolution results, we are able to do that better and discriminate the different phenotypes.”

Regarding the controversial public health proposal that statins are so beneficial that they should be added to public water supplies, Kokkinos said, “I’ve heard that, but my research shows that we should try to have everyone exercise instead of putting statins in the drinking water.”

“Statins are not for everyone and should not be used as one-size-fits-all therapy,” he added. Instead, prescription of statins “should be treated more skeptically when it comes to people with no symptoms, no major coronary artery disease, or other risk factors.”

The JACC: Cardiovascular Imagingstudy was independently supported. Szilveszter, Abraço, and Kokkinos reported no relevant financial relationships.

Damian McNamara is a freelance contributor to Medscape Medical News. He worked full-time for Medscape and WebMD from 2018 to 2024. McNamara has a BA in chemistry and an MA in science, health, and environmental reporting/journalism. He works out of a home office in Miami, with a 100-pound chocolate lab known to snore under his desk during work hours.

Stress CMR Helps Pinpoint Diagnosis in Angina With Nonobstructive Arteries

Stress CMR Helps Pinpoint Diagnosis in Angina With Nonobstructive Arteries

NEW ORLEANS — An evaluation of myocardial blood flow with stress perfusion cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging after a negative angiogram changed the presumed diagnosis and treatment in the majority of patients in a randomized double-blind trial.

“Endotyping-informed therapy in the MRI-guided intervention arm led to a reduction in angina burden and an improvement in health-related quality of life,” reported the principal investigator Colin Berry, MBChB, PhD, a professor of cardiology and imaging at the University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland.

The results of the late-breaking CorCMR trial were presented at American Heart Association (AHA) 2025 Scientific Sessions 2025. The findings were simultaneously published in Nature Medicine.

CMR Reclassified Diagnosis in More Than Half of the Patients

For the study, Berry and colleagues enrolled 250 patients presenting with chest pain who did not have obstructed coronary arteries on angiogram at three centers in the UK. All underwent a stress perfusion CMR with myocardial blood flow mapping. The randomization took place after angiography ruled out obstructive disease.

In almost all patients (97.6%), the presumed diagnosis after the negative angiogram was noncardiac chest pain, but CMR led to a reclassification in 53% of them (95% CI, 46.6-59.3).

In the intervention group, the management team was provided with the CMR results to guide care. For the control group, the CMR results were withheld, and subsequent management was performed with usual care.

After CMR, the diagnosis of noncardiac chest pain was upheld in only 47% of them. Fifty-one percent of patients were diagnosed with microvascular angina and 0.4% had vasospastic angina. Cardiomyopathy and myocarditis were incidental findings in two patients in each group.

The change in the initial diagnosis was the primary outcome of this diagnostic study. The secondary outcomes included control of angina, measured by the Seattle Angina Questionnaire (SAQ), and change in quality of life, measured by the five-dimension EuroQoL-5 assessment, at 12 months relative to baseline and between study groups.

At 12 months, the SAQ score improved by a mean of 21.7 points in the intervention group but remained essentially unchanged, down 0.8 points, in the control group. Differences in medical therapy are the likely explanation, according to Berry.

For those in the intervention group relative to the control group, anti-anginal therapies (84% vs 64%; P = .001), aspirin (77% vs 56%; P < .001), and statins (82% vs 62%; P = .001) were all offered more frequently.

The high diagnostic yield of CMR for patients who otherwise would have been discharged with a diagnosis of noncardiac chest pain was consistent across patient groups, Berry said.

“These results apply equally by sex but are perhaps particularly relevant to women because microvascular angina associates more commonly with women presenting with chest pain,” he said.

Data Said to Have Immediate Clinical Relevance

The data from CorCMR have immediate clinical relevance, according to Robert A. Harrington, MD, a cardiologist currently serving as dean of Weill Cornell Medicine and provost for Medical Affairs at Cornell University in New York City. He noted the study employed a “clever study design” to address “a common and important clinical problem.”

“This is a strategy we can use routinely for those with INOCA [ischemia with nonobstructed coronary arteries],” Harrington said.

As the second most common reason for emergency department visits among adults, chest pain is an important target for better and more efficient diagnostic strategies, according to Berry. He cited data suggesting that only half of the patients with chest pain are diagnosed with a cardiac cause, but CorCMR data suggest many of these are likely sent home despite cardiovascular pathology.

Based on the CorCMR data, “coronary angiography should include a functional test either invasively or noninvasively” to capture these patients, he maintained.

Janet Wei, MD, co-director of the Stress Echocardiography Lab at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, suggested these data coupled with those from other studies are “changing the paradigm of how we manage patients who present with ischemia.”

The importance of separating patients with a negative angiogram who have cardiac disease from those who do not is that INOCA “is not a benign condition,” Wei said. “It is associated with increased major adverse cardiac events as well as increased healthcare costs related to repeat testing.”

Because there has been no systematic approach to identify causes of noncardiac chest pain, delays in identifying the true cause of INOCA can often be measured in years, Wei reported.

“INOCA is associated with significant impairments in quality of life, whether it is the physical health, mental health, or social health,” she said.

This study has not resolved which protocol is best for establishing INOCA and its cause in patients presenting with chest pain, according to Wei, but it does show that taking an extra step to look for INOCA results in improvements in angina symptoms and quality of life.

The CorCMR trial was an investigator-initiated study without industry funding. Berry reported financial relationships with Abbott Vascular, AskBio, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, CorFlow, Edwards Lifesciences, MAIA Pharmaceuticals, Merck, Novartis, Servier, Xylocor, and Zoll Medical. Harrington reported financial relationships with Atropos, Azuma, Basking Biosciences, Bitterroot Bio, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Bridge Bio, Chiesi, CSL Behring, Edwards Lifesciences, Element Science, Foresight, and Merck. Wei reported a financial relationship with Abbott Vascular.

Contrast-enhanced photon-counting detector CT for discriminating local recurrence from postoperative changes after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Original article

Contrast-enhanced photon-counting detector CT for discriminating local recurrence from postoperative changes after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Abstract

Background

We evaluated the diagnostic capability of photon-counting detector computed tomography (PCD-CT) spectral variables in late arterial phase (LAP) and portal venous phase (PVP) to discriminate between local tumor recurrence (LTR) and postoperative changes (POC) after pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) resection.

Methods

Seventy-three consecutive PCD-CT scans in 73 patients with postoperative soft-tissue lesions (PSLs) were included, 42 with POC and 31 with LTR. Regions of interest were drawn in each PSL, and spectral variables were calculated: iodine concentration (IC), normalized IC (NIC), fat fraction, attenuation at 40, 70, and 90 keV, and slope of the spectral curve between 40–90 keV. Multivariable binary logistic regression models were constructed. Diagnostic performance was assessed for LAP and PVP using receiver operating characteristic analysis.

Results

In LAP, all variables except fat fraction showed significant differences between LTR and POC (p ≤ 0.025). In PVP, all variables except NIC and fat fraction demonstrated significant differences between LTR and POC (p ≤ 0.005). Logistic regression analysis included NIC and 70 keV in the LAP-based model and IC and 90 keV in the PVP-based model. Both models achieved a higher area under the curve (AUC) than individual spectral variables in each phase. The LAP-based model achieved an AUC of 0.919 with 94% sensitivity, 84% specificity, and 87% accuracy, while the PVP-based model reached 0.820, 71%, 88%, and 81%, respectively.

Conclusion

Spectral variables from PCD-CT help distinguish between LTR and POC in LAP and PVP post-PDAC resection. Multivariable logistic regression improves diagnostic performance, especially in LAP.

Relevance statement

Measuring normalized iodine concentration and attenuation at 70 keV in late arterial phase, or iodine concentration and attenuation at 90 keV in portal venous phase, and incorporating these values into a logistic regression model can help differentiate between local tumor recurrence and postoperative changes after pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma resection.

Key Points

  • Distinguishing recurrence from postoperative changes on CT after pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma resection is challenging.
  • PCD-CT spectral variable values differed significantly between local tumor recurrence (LTR) and postoperative changes (POC).
  • Logistic regression of spectral variables can help distinguish LTR from POC.
  • The late arterial phase-based model reached an AUC of 0.919 with 94% sensitivity and 84% specificity.

Graphical Abstract

Background

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) carries a dismal prognosis attributable to its locally aggressive growth and early systemic spread [1]. Most patients present with advanced disease, with radical surgical resection feasible for only about 30% [2]. The proportion of patients eligible for surgical resection has risen following the introduction of neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced tumors. In particular, neoadjuvant therapy with the chemotherapy protocol Folfirinox has achieved resectability rates of 60% in patients with initially unresectable tumors [3]. As neoadjuvant treatments have advanced, so too have surgical resection techniques, which continue to serve as the cornerstone in any curative treatment strategy for PDAC [4].

Isolated local recurrence occurs in up to 30% of the patients, and the treatment options are chemoradiotherapy, stereotactic body radiation therapy, and re-resection [5]. It has been shown that median survival after resection of isolated tumor recurrence was significantly longer compared to exploration without resection: 26.0 months versus 10.8 months [6]. Hence, it is crucial to detect local recurrences early through follow-up measures. Studies have demonstrated that patients diagnosed with asymptomatic PDAC recurrence on surveillance computed tomography (CT) had better survival outcomes compared to symptomatic patients with recurrence [7, 8].

The primary challenge in detecting PDAC local tumor recurrence (LTR) on surveillance CT is to differentiate it from postoperative changes (POC). This presents a diagnostic challenge for radiologists as LTR and POC appear morphologically very similar as postoperative soft-tissue lesions (PSLs) [9]. Often, differentiation is only possible by observing progression of PSL on follow-up CT [9] or by performing an 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET)-CT, which has a higher sensitivity and specificity for LTR compared to contrast-enhanced CT [10]. Dual-energy (DE)-CT perfusion has only shown a non-significant lower trend of perfusion values of LTR compared to POC [11]. Furthermore, there is a significant correlation between perfusion CT parameters and iodine concentration (IC) in PDAC [12]. One study has investigated the potential of dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) to differentiate LTR from POC based on IC and CT numbers (HU) with promising results [13].

Not long ago, a photon-counting detector-CT (PCD-CT) system was approved for clinical use [14]. In a PCD, direct conversion occurs from x-ray photon to electrical signal, where ideally, each photon generates a separate signal. In a conventional energy-integrating detector (EID), however, indirect conversion occurs where the resulting electrical signal is an integrated signal generated from the energy deposition of all incident x-ray photons. Since the signal is proportional to the energy that is deposited by the incident photon, high-energy photons dominate the EID signal [15]. Due to the photoelectric effect, high-Z materials like iodine will exhibit a relatively high difference in attenuation from high to low photon energies compared to low-Z materials, such as soft tissues, which have a relatively energy-independent attenuation [16]. Consequently, contrast information carried by low-energy photons will be lost in EIDs. Since PCDs equally count low- and high-energy photons, a PCD-CT will reach a higher contrast for high-Z materials compared to an EID-CT [17]. Furthermore, PCDs provide energy information for every counted x-ray photon. By setting the energy threshold for photon counts above that of electronic noise, significant noise reduction can be achieved [15].

Early clinical experience of the inherent spectral capabilities of PCD-CT has demonstrated clinical benefits from iodine maps and virtual non-contrast images for quantification of myocardial extracellular volume, adrenal adenoma assessment, quantification of emphysema, and anemia detection [18]. Apart from certain technical limitations of PCDs related to count rate and dead time [19], the improved contrast and noise properties of PCDs could theoretically provide more accurate spectral capabilities compared to EID DECT systems, for instance, more reliable IC measurement. Phantom studies have demonstrated that IC measurement with PCD-CT is more accurate compared to DECT [20, 21]. To our knowledge, no previous study has investigated if PCD-CT-derived spectral data can differentiate between PDAC LTR and POC, as has been demonstrated with DECT [13]. Hence, the primary objective of this study was to determine if PCD-CT spectral variables, particularly IC and attenuation values on virtual monoenergetic images at different keV levels, could help discriminate between LTR and POC after PDAC resection. The secondary aim was to evaluate if a combination of different PCD-CT spectral variables could increase the diagnostic performance for predicting LTR.

Methods

This retrospective study has received approval from the Swedish ethical review authority (Dnr 2023-01724-01, 2023-06715-02), and informed consent was waived owing to the retrospective nature of the study design.

Patients

At our tertiary referral center at Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden, during the period 1 July 2022 to 31 October 2023, we retrospectively included 133 consecutive PCD-CT scans with PSLs around the peripancreatic vessels or at the operative site after resection of PDAC. Thirty-eight PCD-CT scans were excluded because they lacked spectral imaging data format (Spectral Post-Processing data). Sixteen PCD-CT scans were excluded because they were repeated on the same patient. Thus, 79 consecutive PCD-CT scans (79 patients) with PSL were included.

In congruence with a prior DECT study, LTR was diagnosed by observing a ≥ 20% increase in the size of PSL along at least one dimension within a timeframe of < 9 months before and/or after the PCD-CT scan (n = 29) [13]. Alternatively, in instances where the PCD-CT scan was the only available surveillance CT scan, LTR was diagnosed by the presence of PSL in combination with elevated tumor marker (CA 19-9 > 37 kU/L) (n = 2). POC was diagnosed if the PSL was stable (< 20% progression in all dimensions) over a timeframe of ≥ 6 months before and/or after the PCD-CT scan, without concurrent administration of chemotherapy or radiotherapy. One PCD-CT scan was excluded because the patient was chemotherapy-free < 6 months, and five PCD-CT scans were excluded because the observation period was < 6 months. Finally, we included 31 PCD-CT scans with LTR and 42 with POC. Among the 31 PCD-CT scans with LTR, 16 were dual-phase scans, and 15 were in portal venous phase (PVP) only. The 16 late arterial phase (LAP) series from the dual-phase scans formed a group with LTR in LAP. The 16 PVP series from the dual-phase scans were combined with the 15 PVP-only series to form a group with LTR in PVP. Of the 42 PCD-CT scans with POC, 31 were dual-phase scans, and 11 were in PVP only. The 31 LAP series from the dual-phase scans formed a group with POC in LAP. The 31 PVP series from the dual-phase scans were combined with the 11 PVP-only series to form a group with POC in PVP. Binary regression models predicting LTR in LAP were constructed using variables from the LAP groups. Models for PVP utilized variables from the PVP groups. Additionally, combined models incorporating both LAP and PVP data were constructed using variables from the dual-phase scans. The patient inclusion process is illustrated in Fig. 1. An abdominal radiologist with 20 years’ experience in pancreatic imaging verified the diagnoses of LTR and POC, respectively.

Fig. 1
figure 1

Flowchart of patient inclusion. Red framed boxes indicate groups in LAP (group POC_LAP/group LTR_LAP), blue framed boxes indicate groups in PVP (group POC_PVP/group LTR_PVP), and green framed boxes indicate groups in dual phase (group POC_COMB/group LTR_COMB). Each group pair was used to construct binary regression models predicting local tumor recurrence in the late arterial phase, portal venous phase, and dual phase, respectively. LAP, Late arterial phase; LTR, Local tumor recurrence; PCD-CT, Photon-counting detector computed tomography; POC, Postoperative changes; PSL, Postoperative soft-tissue lesion; PVP, Portal venous phase; SPP-files, Spectral post-processing files

PCD-CT protocol

The scans were obtained utilizing a dual-source PCD-CT (NAEOTOM Alpha, Siemens Healthineers, Forchheim, Germany) with either a single PVP acquisition (70 s post contrast injection), or with a biphasic acquisition comprising a LAP (35–40 s post contrast injection) and then a PVP. The contrast medium iodixanol (Visipaque® 320 mgI/mL, GE Healthcare, Princeton, NJ, USA) was intravenously administered at a dose of 0.5 g of iodine per kg of body weight with a fixed injection time of 25 s. The maximum dosage weight was 100 kg for men and 80 kg for women.

We implemented the following scanning parameters: multi-energy scan mode (QuantumPlus, Siemens Healthineers); tube potential, 120 or 140 kV; automatic exposure control (CARE Dose4D, Siemens Healthineers); pitch, 0.8; rotation time, 0.5 s; collimation, 144 × 0.4 mm; kernel, Qr36 or Qr44; iterative reconstruction algorithm, quantum iterative reconstruction level 3. The CT series were reconstructed with a slice thickness of 0.6 mm.

Post-processing of spectral data and quantitative analysis

Post-processing of spectral data, encompassing material decomposition and quantification of IC, fat fraction, and calculation of the slopes of HU curves, was conducted utilizing an imaging software (syngo.via, version VB80B, Siemens Healthineers). Within this software, the “Liver Virtual Non-Contrast” application was utilized to measure both the IC (mg/mL) and fat fraction (%). This application employs a modified three-material decomposition algorithm, with the base materials comprising liver tissue, fat, and iodine [22]. One radiologist with 10 years’ experience in abdominal imaging manually drew freehand regions of interest (ROIs) in each LTR and POC on five consecutive slices. The ROI was drawn as large as possible without extending beyond the confines of the lesion, while ensuring that vessels, calcifications, surgical clips, and artifacts, were excluded from the ROI (Figs. 2 and 3). For biphasic PCD-CT scans, the ROIs were placed in the identical location. From these ROIs the IC (mg/mL) and the fat fraction (%) were obtained. To mitigate any potential inter-patient variability stemming from injection rate, contrast agent dosage, and cardiac output, the IC was normalized relative to the IC within the abdominal aorta at the level of the superior mesenteric artery. This normalization was achieved by placing a circular ROI of maximal size within the aortic lumen, while carefully avoiding wall plaques. The normalized IC (NIC) was calculated by the formula: NIC = IC of lesion/IC of abdominal aorta.

Fig. 2
figure 2

Axial contrast-enhanced abdominal PCD-CT scan in LAP in the first row (a, b, c), and in PVP in the second row (d, e, f). In the right column (c, f) are zoomed-in images of the ROIs. The images are of a 77-year-old male with LTR of PDAC post total pancreatectomy. Mean NIC in LAP was 0.08, and mean attenuation at 70 keV was 60.64 HU. According to the LAP model this yields a probability for LTR of 0.812 (81.2%). Mean IC in PVP was 1.03 mg/mL, and mean attenuation at 90 keV was 52.73 HU. According to the PVP model this yields a probability for LTR of 0.700 (70.0%). IC, Iodine concentration; LAP, Late arterial phase; LTR, Local tumor recurrence; NIC, Normalized iodine concentration; PCD-CT, Photon-counting detector computed tomography; PDAC, Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; PVP, Portal venous phase; ROIs, Regions of interest

Fig. 3
figure 3

Axial contrast-enhanced abdominal PCD-CT scan in LAP in the first row (a, b, c), and in PVP in the second row (d, e, f). In the right column (c, f) are zoomed-in images of the ROIs. The images are of a 72-year-old male with POC post total pancreatectomy. Mean NIC in LAP was 0.03, and mean attenuation at 70 keV was 35.91 HU. According to the LAP model this yields a probability for LTR of 0.025 (2.5%). Mean IC in PVP was 0.80 mg/mL, and mean attenuation at 90 keV was 35.70 HU. According to the PVP model this yields a probability for LTR of 0.170 (17.0%). IC, Iodine concentration; LAP, Late arterial phase; LTR, Local tumor recurrence; NIC, Normalized iodine concentration; PCD-CT, Photon-counting detector computed tomography; POC, Postoperative changes; PVP, Portal venous phase; ROIs Regions of interest

In the syngo.via application “Monoenergetic Plus” only circular ROIs were available for HU-measurements. An as large as possible circular ROI was drawn within each abovementioned freehand ROI without exceeding the size of the latter. HU-values were obtained for virtual monoenergetic images ranging from 40 to 190 keV. We defined the slope of the spectral HU curve (λHU) as the difference between the mean HU-value at 40 keV and the mean HU-value at 90 keV divided by the difference in energy (50 keV), according to the following formula:

We chose the range of 40 to 90 keV because the curve above 90 keV was nearly flat. Hence, the range from 40 kV to 90 keV offered a steeper slope with increased sensitivity to changes in attenuation.

The measurements obtained from the ROIs on the five consecutive slices were averaged by applying a 20% trimmed mean where the minimal and maximal values of the five measurements were excluded, and the remaining three values were averaged [23, 24].

The dimensions of LTR and POC were assessed by measuring their size in three perpendicular axes on the CT series in PVP, and the greatest percentage size difference along any axis was calculated.

Accurate positioning of ROIs and measurements was validated by an abdominal radiologist with 20 years’ experience.

Statistical analysis

The statistical software IBM SPSS (v.28, Chicago, IL, USA) and R Studio (v. 2024.04.1+748, Posit Software, PBC) with the package “coin” (v. 1.4.3), “glmnet” (v. 4.1.8) and pROC (v. 1.18.5) were used to perform the data analysis. A stepwise approach was used to develop the prediction model for each contrast phase, as well as a combined model integrating variables from both phases. First, univariate analysis of seven PCD-CT spectral variables in LAP and PVP was performed comprising: IC, NIC, fat fraction, 40 keV (attenuation at 40 keV), 70 keV (attenuation at 70 keV), 90 keV (attenuation at 90 keV), and λHU. The difference in each variable was compared between the LTR and POC groups. Levene’s test was used to evaluate the equality of variances (i.e., homoscedasticity) of the data in the LTR and POC groups, while the Shapiro-Wilk test was used to test for normality. Data exhibiting homoscedasticity and normality was compared between the groups using the independent samples t-test. Heteroscedastic normal data was compared between the groups with the Welch test (unequal variance t-test). Non-normal data was compared between the groups using a permutation-based two-sample test, implemented via the ‘independence_test()’ function from the “coin” package in R, with 108 resampling iterations (‘nresample = 1e+08’) to approximate the null distribution [25, 26]. A two-sided significance level of 0.05 was set, and the p-values were Bonferroni-corrected. The continuous variables were presented as mean ± standard deviation. Second, all variables, including those not showing significant differences in the univariate analysis, were included in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis with ten-fold cross-validation to identify the most relevant predictors. Variables that were statistically significant in the univariate analysis and retained non-zero coefficients after LASSO regression were selected for further logistic regression analysis. Based on these methods, several binary logistic regression models were proposed. The Corrected Akaike Information Criterion score was utilized to identify the best-fitting models ensuring minimization of overfitting. Multicollinearity among predictor variables was checked by calculating the variance inflation factor. Predictor variables demonstrating a variance inflation factor > 10 were considered to exhibit problematic collinearity, and models containing such variables were excluded. Models that included predictor variables or an intercept that were not statistically significant (p > 0.05) were excluded. The linearity of the logit assumption for each model was tested by plotting the logit of the predicted probabilities against each predictor variable and visually assessing the relationship (Supplementary Fig. S1). The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was employed to evaluate the goodness-of-fit for the logistic regression models. A p-value > 0.05 was considered indicative of a good model fit.

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed on the predictive models utilizing predicted probability values. Additionally, ROC curve analysis was conducted on variables that demonstrated statistical significance in the univariate analysis. The Youden index was calculated to suggest an optimal cutoff value that optimizes the balance between sensitivity and specificity for LTR detection [27]. Areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) were calculated, and the difference between the final models’ AUC and that of each PCD-CT spectral variable was evaluated with the DeLong test.

Results

Patients’ characteristics

The demographic characteristics of the patient population are depicted in Table 1. Thirty-one patients were diagnosed with LTR, 29 of which were identified based on the size progression of PSL according to the abovementioned criteria. For LTR cases, the mean observation period during which the progression of PSL was detected was 4.0 months, and the mean greatest size increase of PSL along any axis was 53.3%. In two patients, where the PCD-CT scan was the only available surveillance CT scan, tumor recurrence was identified based on the presence of a PSL combined with elevated tumor marker (one of the patients had a CA 19-9 of 1356 kU/L, and the other had a CA 19-9 of 376 kU/L). For cases with POC, the mean longest observation period without chemo- or radiotherapy during which the PSL was stable (< 20% size increase) was 23.6 months. Thirty POC cases demonstrated a decrease in the size of the PSL with a mean greatest size decrease along any axis of 17.0%. The mean longest lesion diameter at the start of the observation period was 31.3 mm for LTR and 27.3 mm for POC, without significant difference (p = 0.117). At the end of the observation period, the mean longest diameter was 39.8 mm for LTR and 25.8 mm for POC, a difference that was statistically significant (p < 0.001). The mean ROI areas were larger for LTR than POC, a finding that was statistically significant for all ROI areas except for freehand ROIs in LAP (freehand ROI LAP: 2.00 cm2versus 1.43 cm2, p = 0.078; circular ROI LAP: 0.91 cm2 versus 0.51 cm2, p < 0.001; freehand ROI PVP: 2.27 cm2 versus 1.47 cm2, p = 0.031; circular ROI PVP: 0.96 cm2 versus 0.53 cm2, p = 0.031). There was a lower proportion of microscopically negative resection margins (R0) in LTR cases (12.9%) compared to POC cases (38.1%). Ten LTR cases and three POC cases had ongoing chemotherapy at the time of the PCD-CT. None of the LTR cases underwent biopsy to verify the LTR histologically.

Table 1 Demographic characteristics of the study population, in the LAP and PVP groups

Univariate analysis and LASSO regression

Of the seven variables in LAP, all but the variable fat fraction demonstrated significant differences between the LTR_LAP and POC_LAP groups. Of the seven variables in PVP, all but the variables NIC and fat fraction exhibited significant differences between the LTR_PVP and POC_PVP groups (Table 2). Of the 14 variables in the dual phase, seven were significantly different between LTR_COMB and POC_COMB (Supplementary Table S1). LASSO regression identified the optimal penalty parameter lambda (λ), which minimizes model error as log(λ) = -2.449 (λ = 0.08637233) for LAP and log(λ) = -5.991 (λ = 0.0025004) for PVP (Fig. 4). Statistically significant variables from the univariate analysis that retained non-zero coefficients after LASSO regression included three variables each for LAP (NIC, 70 keV, and 90 keV), PVP (IC, 70 keV, and 90 keV), and the dual phase (NIC in LAP, 70 keV in LAP, and 90 keV in PVP) (Fig. 4). Further logistic regression analysis, aimed at balancing goodness of fit and model complexity, resulted in the inclusion of the same selected variables in both the LAP model and the combined model. Hence, combining PCD-CT spectral variables from LAP and PVP did not improve the diagnostic performance of the model (Supplementary Table S2). The following two models offered the best diagnostic value for each contrast phase, respectively:

Table 2 Comparison of quantitative spectral PCD-CT variables between LTR and POC in LAP and PVP
Fig. 4
figure 4

a, c, e Plots of LASSO regularization paths (a in LAP, c in PVP, and e in dual phase) showing the log(λ) associated with the minimum cross-validated error (deviance) as indicated by the vertical dashed red line. The continuous line represents the mean and dashed lines on either side of the continuous line indicate one standard error of the mean. b, d, f Plots of LASSO coefficient paths (bin LAP, d in PVP, and f in dual phase) where the individual coefficients are plotted as functions of log(λ). The vertical dashed red line indicates the log(λ) that minimizes model error. The variables that had non-zero coefficients at this log(λ) value and were statistically significant in the univariate analysis were included for further logistic regression analysis (NIC, 70 keV, and 90 keV in LAP; IC, 70 keV, and 90 keV in PVP; and NIC LAP, 70 keV LAP, and 90 keV PVP in dual phase). IC, Iodine concentration, LAP, Late arterial phase; LASSO, Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator; NIC, Normalized iodine concentration; PVP, Portal venous phase; λHU, Slope of the spectral HU curve from 40 to 90 keV (mean HU40keV - mean HU90keV)/(90keV - 40 keV)

ROC analysis

The ROC analysis revealed that the AUC for the LAP model was 0.919 (95% CI 0.815–1.000), while for the PVP model, it was 0.820 (95% CI 0.720–0.921) (Fig. 5 and Table 3). The AUCs of the models were compared with those of the variables that showed statistical significance in the univariate analysis. In LAP, the AUC of the model was significantly higher compared to the AUCs of IC (p = 0.034), NIC (p = 0.013), and λHU (p = 0.018). No significant differences were observed in LAP between the AUCs of the variables NIC and 70 keV (p = 0.365), which served as predictors in the LAP model. In PVP, there were no significant differences between the AUC of the model and the AUCs of the individual variables.

Fig. 5
figure 5

ROC analyses of spectral PCD-CT variables that were statistically significant in the univariate analysis and of the logistic regression models for LAP (a) and PVP (b), respectively, for predicting LTR post PDAC resection. Model LAP and Model PVP had the highest AUC values in comparison to any individual variable in LAP and PVP, respectively. AUC, Area under the curve; IC, Iodine concentration; LAP, Late arterial phase; LTR, Local tumor recurrence; NIC, Normalized iodine concentration; PCD-CT, Photon-counting detector computed tomography; PDAC, Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; PVP, Portal venous phase; λHU, Slope of the spectral HU curve from 40 to 90 keV (mean HU40keV - mean HU90keV)/(90keV - 40 keV); ROC, Receiver operating characteristic

Table 3 Performance of individual quantitative parameters and binary logistic regression models derived from PCD-CT spectral data for the differentiation between LTR and POC

For the LAP model, at a cutoff predicted probability of 0.281, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 93.8%, 83.9%, and 87.2%, respectively. For the PVP model, at a cutoff predicted probability of 0.494, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 71.0%, 88.1%, and 80.8%, respectively (Fig. 5 and Table 3).

Discussion

In our study, PCD-CT-derived spectral data has been used for the first time to discriminate between LTR and POC following resection of PDAC. LTR demonstrated significantly higher mean IC in both contrast phases and significantly higher mean NIC in LAP. In LAP, LTR cases exhibited more than double the mean NIC of POC cases. This finding is in line with a previous DECT study that demonstrated significantly higher iodine uptake in LTR compared to POC in “early venous phase” (images acquired 30 s after trigger time point) [13], which corresponds to our LAP (35–40 s after contrast injection).

As far as we know, this study represents the first evaluation of spectral CT variables in a later contrast phase (i.e., PVP, 70 s after contrast injection) for discriminating between PDAC LTR and POC. However, our findings reveal that the diagnostic performance of spectral variables in PVP is comparatively modest when compared to the corresponding variables in LAP. Furthermore, while significant differences in mean IC were evident between LTR and POC during the venous phase, normalization of these values (NIC) weakened the statistical significance, unlike the LAP, where normalization increased statistical significance. The LAP is an earlier phase and, therefore, more sensitive than the PVP to variations in cardiac output and blood pressure.

The observed increase in statistical significance of differences after normalization of IC in LAP indicates that LTR truly has a higher contrast uptake than POC during this phase. Conversely, the non-significant difference in NIC between LTR and POC in PVP suggests that the significant difference in absolute IC values may be attributed to variability in systemic patient factors. Nevertheless, IC in PVP was significantly different between LTR and PVP and was also selected as a predictor variable by the LASSO regression analysis.

Furthermore, the attenuation values were significantly higher for LTR compared to POC in both contrast phases, with the greatest attenuation difference between LTR and POC observed in LAP. This observation, coupled with the significant difference in NIC in LAP, could be due to the already established fact that the contrast enhancement in PDAC increases most during 0–30 s (corresponding to the LAP) and then plateaus after 60 s (corresponding to the PVP) [28].

Given the previously established significant correlation between perfusion CT parameters (blood volume and permeability) and IC in PDAC [12], our findings suggest that vascularization is higher in LTR compared to POC, as also proposed in the previous DECT study [13]. This contrasts with the findings from the initial DECT perfusion study that presented lower perfusion values of LTR compared to POC, indicating a poorer vascular supply of LTR [11], and this discrepancy was also pointed out by the authors of the previous DECT study [13]. The reason for these contradicting results is unclear. Possible sources of measurement error when assessing relatively small lesions near larger vessels on an abdominal CT perfusion scan are breathing artifacts, even though the authors tried to mitigate these by instructing the patients to implement shallow breathing [11].

It is well established that PDAC has a low microvascular density compared to other malignant tumors. Furthermore, the pronounced fibro-inflammatory reaction (desmoplastic reaction) causes vessel collapse. This results in a hypoxic microenvironment that is profibrogenic, but that also triggers pancreatic stellate cells to produce angiogenic factors [29]. Less is known about the morphology and composition of intra-abdominal POC. To our knowledge, nothing has yet been published about the morphology of postoperative retroperitoneal changes. We have found three studies on peritoneal adhesions that challenge previous beliefs that adhesions are merely composed of avascular fibrous scar tissue. These studies demonstrated histologically that apart from containing collagen bundles, peritoneal adhesions are cellular and vascularized structures [30,31,32]. Histological comparison of microvascular density between PDAC and POC is a topic that requires further investigation.

We found that the fat fraction was lower for LTR compared to POC in both contrast phases; however, this difference was not statistically significant. This is in line with the previous DECT study [13].

We have demonstrated that integrating the two LAP variables, NIC and 70 keV, in the LAP model resulted in a higher AUC compared to the AUCs obtained from each variable independently. The increase was statistically significant for the variable NIC. In line with the previous DECT study, we did not observe any significant difference in the AUCs between the NIC and 70 keV variables in LAP. We chose to evaluate the 70 keV virtual monoenergetic images since they are equivalent to 120 kVp images [33]. Also, the mean energy of the photons at 120 kVp is around 70 keV [34].

While further validation is necessary, the LAP model, in its current form, demonstrates higher sensitivity and specificity compared to conventional contrast-enhanced CT without spectral information, which, according to a meta-analysis, showed a pooled sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 80%. Our LAP model also outperforms 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET-CT in terms of sensitivity, as reported in the same study where 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET-CT had a pooled sensitivity of 88% and specificity of 89% [10]. Compared to other 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET-CT studies, however, our model exhibited inferior diagnostic performance, with one study demonstrating a sensitivity of 97.6% and an accuracy of 90% [35], and another study reporting a sensitivity of 90.9%, a specificity of 100.0% and an accuracy of 92.3% [36].

There are several limitations of our study. First, we have a relatively small sample size. However, PDAC is a rare diagnosis, which, coupled with our strict inclusion criteria, further diminishes the pool of eligible patients. Second, none of the PSLs were biopsied. This is because we follow PSLs at our center with CT, and in cases of progression, we only consider biopsy for resectable lesions. None of the LTR cases in our cohort were considered for re-resection (25 cases had metastatic disease, 5 cases had no metastases but inoperable LTR, and 1 case received the best supportive care due to high age (85 years)). Third, 10 of 31 patients with LTR and 3 of 42 patients with POC had ongoing chemotherapy at the time of the PCD-CT scan. Despite this, we decided to include these patients, given the routine administration of adjuvant chemotherapy in most cases. Fourth, in some cases, PSLs were in the immediate vicinity of central abdominal vessels, introducing measurement uncertainty. We tried to mitigate this by making sure that the freehand ROIs are drawn within the confines of the PSL, excluding any vessels, and by applying a 20% trimmed mean of measurements from the five consecutive slices to minimize the influence of outliers. Fifth, the discrepancy in case numbers between the PVP groups (31 LTR cases, 42 POC cases) and LAP groups (16 LTR cases, 31 POC cases) hinders a direct comparison of diagnostic performance between the LAP model and the PVP model. However, given the rarity of this disease, we included the additional PVP-only cases to boost the statistical power of the PVP model, as this later contrast phase has not been assessed in this context in the literature. Furthermore, we created groups comprising patients scanned in both LAP and PVP (group LTR_COMB, n = 16; and group POC_COMB, n = 31), where univariate and logistic regression analysis yielded identical predictor variables as those in the LAP model (NIC in LAP, and 70 keV in LAP). Given the absence of PVP variables in the final model of the combined phase groups, we abstained from further direct comparisons between LAP and PVP variables.

Our study has several advantages over previous research. First, we performed quantitative measurements on CT series with a 0.6-mm slice thickness, unlike the previous DECT study [13], which used a 5-mm slice thickness, thus mitigating partial volume effects. Second, we normalized the IC of the PSL to the IC of the abdominal aorta to minimize inter-patient variations in physiology and contrast administration. The inclusion of NIC as a predictor variable in the LAP model likely increases the robustness and generalizability of this model. We chose not to normalize the attenuation values (variables 40 keV, 70 keV, and 90 keV) to those of the aorta, as it would introduce an additional layer of complexity to the models, and we are unaware of any studies that have calculated the slope of the spectral curve based on normalized HU-values. However, we are planning to perform the normalization of these variables as well in a forthcoming study. We also intend to include a larger number of patients who have undergone PCD-CT in both contrast phases in a future study to further validate the models.

In conclusion, quantitative variables derived from PCD-CT spectral data facilitate the discrimination of LTR from POC in LAP and PVP following PDAC resection. Combining relevant variables in a multivariable binary logistic regression model enhances diagnostic performance, particularly in LAP, where the model at the optimal cutoff value achieves a 94% sensitivity, an 84% specificity, and an 87% accuracy.

Data availability

The datasets used in this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Abbreviations

AUC:
Area under the curve
CT:
Computed tomography
DECT:
Dual-energy computed tomography
EID:
Energy-integrating detector
IC:
Iodine concentration
LAP:
Late arterial phase
LASSO:
Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator
LTR:
Local tumor recurrence
NIC:
Normalized iodine concentration
PCD:
Photon-counting detector
PCD-CT:
Photon-counting detector computed tomography
PDAC:
Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma
PET-CT:
Positron emission tomography-computed tomography
POC:
Postoperative changes
PSL:
Postoperative soft-tissue lesion
PVP:
Portal venous phase
ROC:
Receiver operating characteristic
ROI:
Region of interest

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Acknowledgements

LLMs were not used for this manuscript.

Funding

Open access funding provided by Karolinska Institute.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Contributions

Conceptualization: ZA, CVD, ASM, SKK. Methodology: ZA, CVD, ASM, SKK. Data preparation: ZA, CVD. Data collection: ZA. Data analysis: ZA. Writing original draft: ZA. Writing—review and editing: ZA, CVD, ASM, SKK. All authors reviewed, read, and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zlatan Alagic.

Ethics declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

This retrospective study has been approved by the Swedish ethical review authority (Dnr 2023-01724-01, 2023-06715-02), and informed consent was waived due to the study’s retrospective design.

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Not applicable.

Study subjects or cohorts overlap

Eight study subjects are also included in another study cohort with a different objective.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

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Supplementary information

Additional file 1 of Contrast-enhanced photon-counting detector CT for discriminating local recurrence from postoperative changes after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Eur Radiol Exp (2025) Alagic Z, Valls Duran C, Svensson–Marcial A, Koskinen SK.
Contrast–enhanced photon–counting detector CT for discriminating local recurrence from postoperative
changes after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma
ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL
Supplementary Table S1. Comparison of quantitative spectral PCD–CT variables between LTR and POC in dual phase
LTR POC Uncorrected
p–value
Bonferroni–
corrected p–
value
IC (mg/mL) in LAP 0.90 ± 0.34 0.61 ± 0.25 0.001 0.017
NIC in LAP 0.12 ± 0.10 0.05 ± 0.03 < 0.001 0.005
Fat fraction (%) in LAP 17.14 ± 7.05 24.07 ± 8.47 0.007 ns (0.102)
Attenuation at 40 keV (HU) in LAP 94.72 ± 35.25 55.90 ± 23.54 < 0.001 0.009
Attenuation at 70 keV (HU) in LAP 55.87 ± 14.10 38.43 ± 13.01 < 0.001 0.001
Attenuation at 90 keV (HU) in LAP 47.47 ± 11.00 34.22 ± 12.03 < 0.001 0.007
λHU (HU/keV) in LAP 0.95 ± 0.57 0.43 ± 0.33 0.004 ns (0.051)
IC (mg/mL) in PVP 1.12 ± 0.43 0.86 ± 0.26 0.034 ns (0.477)
NIC in PVP 0.24 ± 0.09 0.20 ± 0.08 ns (0.137) ns (1)
Fat fraction (%) in PVP 17.38 ± 6.81 23.02 ± 8.14 0.022 ns (0.308)
Attenuation at 40 keV (HU) in
PVP 112.23 ± 42.11 78.35 ± 21.25 0.007 ns (0.097)
Attenuation at 70 keV (HU) in
PVP 60.82 ± 15.15 45.65 ± 11.17 < 0.001 0.004
Attenuation at 90 keV (HU) in
PVP 50.27 ± 10.76 38.28 ± 10.02 < 0.001 0.006
λHU (HU/keV) in PVP 1.24 ± 0.70 0.80 ± 0.32 0.028 ns (0.394)
IC Iodine concentration, LAP Late arterial phase, LTR Local tumor recurrence, NIC Normalized iodine concentration, ns Not significant, POC Postoperative
changes, PVP Portal venous phase, λHU Slope of the spectral HU curve from 40 to 90 keV (mean HU40keV − mean HU90keV)/(90keV − 40keV)

Eur Radiol Exp (2025) Alagic Z, Valls Duran C, Svensson–Marcial A, Koskinen SK.
Supplementary Table S2. Comparison between different logistic regression models for late arterial phase, portal venous phase,
and both contrast phases combined, comprising variables that were statistically significant in the univariate analysis and retained
non–zero coefficients after LASSO regression
Is there
multicollinearity?,
(highest VIF)
AICc Nagelkerke
R2
Highest p–value
among predictor
variables
p–value of
intercept
ROC
AUC
p–value of
Hosmer–
Lemeshow test
Late arterial phase
NIC + 70 keV + 90 keV Yes, (23.383) 37.510 0.679 0.861 0.003 0.944 < 0.001
NIC + 70 keV* No, (1.004) 37.450 0.643 0.005 0.002 0.919 0.073
NIC + 90 keV No, (1.001) 35.148 0.679 0.005 0.003 0.944 < 0.001
70 keV + 90 keV Yes, (18.961) 49.064 0.436 0.591 0.003 0.843 0.019
NIC N/A 52.168 0.321 0.010 0.001 0.736 0.467
70 keV N/A 47.071 0.430 0.002 0.001 0.851 < 0.001
90 keV N/A 49.861 0.372 0.003 0.002 0.821 0.006
Portal venous phase
IC + 70 keV + 90 keV Yes, (66.530) 69.917 0.548 0.004 < 0.001 0.889 0.395
IC + 70 keV No, (1.296) 82.122 0.373 0.082 < 0.001 0.801 0.158
IC + 90 keV* No, (1.078) 79.029 0.414 0.012 < 0.001 0.820 0.338
70 keV + 90 keV Yes, (15.140) 85.416 0.329 0.855 < 0.001 0.797 0.462
IC N/A 89.766 0.234 0.001 < 0.001 0.769 0.035
70 keV N/A 83.272 0.328 < 0.001 < 0.001 0.792 0.445
90 keV N/A 84.423 0.312 < 0.001 < 0.001 0.790 0.185
Late arterial and portal venous phase
NIC LAP + 70 keV LAP + 90 keV PVP No, (3.109) 38.475 0.665 0.259 0.002 0.925 0.085
NIC LAP + 70 keV LAP* No, (1.004) 37.450 0.643 0.005 0.002 0.919 0.073
NIC LAP + 90 keV PVP No, (1.002) 38.904 0.620 0.009 0.001 0.913 0.189
70 keV LAP + 90 keV PVP No, (3.011) 49.171 0.434 0.667 0.001 0.851 < 0.001
NIC LAP N/A 52.168 0.321 0.010 0.001 0.736 0.467
70 keV LAP N/A 47.071 0.430 0.002 0.001 0.851 < 0.001
90 keV PVP N/A 51.430 0.337 0.003 0.002 0.790 0.186

Additional file 1: Supplementary Table S1.

Comparison of quantitative spectral PCD-CT variables between LTR and POC in dual phase. Supplementary Table S2. Comparison between different logistic regression models for late arterial phase, portal venous phase, and both contrast phases combined, comprising variables that were statistically significant in the univariate analysis and retained non-zero coefficients after LASSO regression. Supplementary Fig. S1. Check of the linearity of the logit assumption for the LAP model (a, b) by plotting the logit of predicted probabilities against the variable NIC (a) and 70 keV (b); and for the PVP model (c, d) by plotting the logit of predicted probabilities against the variable IC (c) and 90 keV (d). The variables from each model demonstrate a satisfactory level of linearity with the logit of predicted probabilities.

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Alagic, Z., Duran, C.V., Svensson-Marcial, A. et al. Contrast-enhanced photon-counting detector CT for discriminating local recurrence from postoperative changes after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. Eur Radiol Exp 9, 26 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1186/s41747-025-00567-0

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Keywords

MRI as an alternative to CT after inconclusive ultrasound in subacute/acute abdominal pain in young women

MRI as an alternative to CT after inconclusive ultrasound in subacute/acute abdominal pain in young women: a prospective multicenter noninferiority study

  • Emergency Radiology
  • Published:
European RadiologyAims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Objective

To assess the noninferiority of MRI diagnostic accuracy to CT scan as a second-line examination of acute/subacute abdominopelvic pain in a population of young women after an inconclusive ultrasound (US).

Methods

This prospective, multicenter non-inferiority study included 18–40-year-old non-pregnant women with non-traumatic acute/subacute abdominal pain. They had an inconclusive US warranting the prescription of an additional CT scan. Within 6 h of the CT, all these women underwent abdomino-pelvic MRI. A retrospective reading of the CT and MR provided a diagnosis using a standardized list. The gold standard diagnosis, based on a 3-month follow-up, was done by a panel of experts. Statistical analysis was conducted to assess the noninferiority of the diagnostic accuracy of MRI compared to that of CT. The noninferiority margin was set at 10%. Inter-observer agreement and diagnostic performance of a conditional imaging strategy were estimated.

Results

133 participants were analyzed (median: 27 years). The most common diagnoses were non-specific pain (30.1%), ovarian cyst rupture (12.8%), and appendicitis (9.7%). MRI demonstrated non-inferiority diagnostic accuracy estimated between 60.9% (81/133) and 88% (117/133) compared to CT, estimated between 64.7% (86/133) and 83.5% (111/133). The conditional imaging strategy (MRI, followed by CT when the MRI was normal) had a diagnostic accuracy of 91%.

Conclusion

MRI diagnostic performances are not inferior to CT for acute abdominal pain in women aged 18–40. A conditional imaging strategy based on MRI would give an accuracy of 91% and might be considered a second-line imaging modality in that context.

Key Points

Question Can MRI serve as an alternative to CT as a second-line imaging modality for acute abdominopelvic pain in young women (18–40) after an inconclusive ultrasound?

Findings MRI accuracy after inconclusive US ranged from 60.9 to 88%. A conditional strategy (MRI first, CT if normal) reached 91% accuracy, avoiding 59% of CTs.

Clinical relevance MRI is not inferior to CT for diagnosing uncategorized causes of acute abdomino-pelvic pain in young non-pregnant women. A conditional imaging strategy based on MRI as a second-line imaging modality would give an accuracy of 91%.

Preliminary reports of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography: a nationwide performance on the Korean population in 2019–2020

Preliminary reports of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography: a nationwide performance on the Korean population in 2019–2020

  • Computed Tomography
  • Published:
European RadiologyAims and scopeSubmit manuscript

A Commentary to this article was published on 18 June 2025

Abstract

Background

Korea introduced its National Lung Cancer Screening Program (NLCSP) with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) in 2019. However, there are few published results of lung cancer screening at national level. We investigated the performance of LDCT for lung cancer screening and suggested recommendations for improving a nationwide population-based program.

Materials and methods

This study was a nationwide, population-based cross-sectional study. We analyzed the Korean National Health Insurance Big Data Base, which included lung cancer-related screening information between 2019 and 2020, was analyzed. Performance indicators were the number of examinations, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), overexposure, and suspected lung cancer (LCA). The performance indicators were stratified according to screening year, sex, age group, and region.

Results

A total of 149,936 examinations were done in 2019–2020. Most participants were men (98.3%) or were aged 54–59 or 60–64 (35.2% and 38.2%). The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, overexposure, and suspected LCA were 82.9%, 91.9%, 6.4%, 99.9%, 2.7%, and 4.0%, respectively. Women showed lower sensitivity than men. In 2020, there was a substantial increase in PPV (11.0%), and a substantial decrease in overexposure (47.7%) and suspected LCA (16.9%) compared to 2019. At regional level, there was a large variance in sensitivity, PPV, overexposure, and suspected LCA.

Conclusions

Korea’s NLCSP successfully demonstrated validity and reliability at national level. Sexual, and regional differences should be addressed to improve NLCSP.

Key Points

Question How has biennial low-dose CT (LDCT) lung cancer screening performed in Korea for individuals aged 54–74 years with a smoking history of ≥ 30 pack-years?

Findings The sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value were 82.9%, 91.9%, and 6.4%.

Clinical relevance Korea’s program demonstrated a similar level of validity and reliability of previous lung cancer screening studies at national level. It facilitated early diagnosis of lung cancer for all the relevant Korean population and laid the foundation for long-term cancer screening.